TRIS Rating Co., Ltd. has assigned the rating of “A” to the proposed issue of up to Bt6,000 million in guaranteed debentures of Glow Energy PLC (GLOW). The new issue rating is to replace the “A” rating previously assigned to GLOW’s proposed issue of up to Bt3,000 million in guaranteed debentures on
2 August 2011 as the company has decided to increase the issue size by Bt3,000 million. At the same time, TRIS Rating has affirmed the company rating and the ratings of GLOW’s current guaranteed debentures at “A”. The outlook remains “stable”. The proceeds from the proposed debentures will be used to refinance the loans of Thai National Power Co., Ltd. (TNP), its subsidiary, and to expand electricity generating capacity of TNP.
The ratings reflect GLOW’s proven track record in the power generating industry in Thailand, reliable cash flow from long-term Power Purchase Agreements (PPA) with the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT), and long-term contracts with a diverse group of industrial customers. These strengths are partially offset by customer concentration risk, as most of GLOW’s customers are in the petrochemical industry in the Map Ta Phut area.
The “stable” outlook reflects the expectation that GLOW will receive reliable cash flows from its long-term power sales contracts with EGAT and its industrial customers. The commissioning of its power projects under development will gradually increase the cash flow stream in the coming years.
TRIS Rating reported that GLOW was established in 1993 as a Small Power Producer (SPP) in the Map Ta Phut Industrial Estate. Its business scope has expanded to include power cogeneration and independent power producer (IPP) both in Thailand and in neighboring countries. GDF SUEZ Group remains the major shareholder of GLOW. GDF SUEZ is one of the world’s leading energy providers, supplying energy throughout the world, but primarily in Europe. GDF SUEZ also operates gas transmission and distribution networks and provides other energy services. Currently, GLOW is the leading private power producer in Thailand. The company’s cogeneration business generated about 70% of its sales and earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) in 2010. As of June 2011, GLOW had in total 1,945 megawatts (MW) of power generating capacity, consisting of 865 MW in IPP plants and 1,080 MW in cogeneration units. GLOW’s IPP gas-fired plants are located in Chonburi province while its hydro power plant is located in Lao PDR. GLOW’s cogeneration business, which is located in the Map Ta Phut Industrial Estate and the Eastern Seaboard Industrial Estate in Rayong province, mainly caters to petrochemical plants which require highly stable supplies of utilities. However, this structure carries concentration risk because most of GLOW’s customers are in the petrochemical industry and located in the Map Ta Phut area.
Out of GLOW’s total capacity of 1,945 MW of electricity and 1,046 tonnes per hour of steam, 1,429 MW has been contracted to EGAT under several PPAs spanning 21 to 25 years. The remaining capacity of electricity and steam, together with treated water, are supplied to industrial customers under sales contracts. The contracts have remaining terms of up to 20 years. These long-term commitments provide GLOW with reliable sources of cash flow. In 2010, sales to EGAT contributed about 57% of total revenue, while sales to industrial customers accounted for the remainder.
TRIS Rating said, GLOW’s shareholders approved the acquisition of a 100% stake in TNP from International Power PLC (IPR) for US$55 million (Bt1,668 million) on 8 July 2011. This acquisition follows the plans of GDF SUEZ and IPR, the major shareholders of GLOW, to consolidate power operations in Thailand after IPR merged with GDF SUEZ at the beginning of 2011. TNP and its subsidiaries operate gas-fired power plants totaling 141 MW under the SPP scheme. The plants are located in Pluak Daeng district in Rayong province. TNP is developing new cogeneration power plants under the SPP scheme totaling 110 MW of capacity, worth Bt4,500 million. TNP earned revenue of Bt2,400-Bt2,600 million per year with EBITDA reaching Bt460-Bt540 million per year during 2008-2010. As of June 2011, TNP and its subsidiaries had interest-bearing debt of Bt2,902 million. TNP will need additional investment of Bt3,000 million to complete the second SPP project currently under development. The investment in TNP therefore will cost GLOW Bt7,570 million in total or Bt30.2 million per MW. After the TNP acquisition,
the power generating capacity of GLOW will increase by 251 MW in 2012, up 8% compared with the pre-acquisition level. The TNP acquisition also offers some diversification benefits to GLOW. TNP’s plants are located outside the Map Ta Phut area and primarily cater to the automotive and electrical appliance industries. Increasing leverage following the acquisition will weaken GLOW’s financial strength in the medium term. However, the debt level remains manageable, supported by the reliable cash flows of TNP and the upcoming commissioning of GLOW’s expansion projects.
GLOW recorded a 3.3% y-o-y increase in total revenue to Bt18,613 million in the first half of 2011. The revenue of the IPP business shrank by 6% over the same period of the previous year, due to a strong baht, more maintenance shut downs, as well as a drought, which cut the revenue from the Houay Ho hydro power plant (HHPC). However, the rise in SPP business and higher revenue from steam sold to industrial customers help offset the decline in the IPP business. GLOW’s operating margin before depreciation and amortization fell to 25.1% in the first half of 2011 compared with 26.3% in the first half of 2010. The rise in fuel costs and a Bt0.0567 per KWh decrease in the Ft charge during January-April 2011 attributed to the decline. GLOW’s EBITDA was flat at Bt4,748 million, compared with the same period of the prior year. GLOW’s total debt to capitalization ratio increased to 63.1% at the end of June 2011 from 62.6% in 2010, due to higher borrowing to fund its expansion projects. Looking forward, EBITDA is expected to increase in 2011 as new capacity comes on stream.
GLOW’s two expansion projects, Phase 5 (382 MWe) and a new IPP, GHECO-One (660 MW), are under construction. The two projects are nearly completed with Bt9,800 million yet to spend in 2011. The Phase 5 project is expected to be commercially operational by September 2011. The IPP project, which is awaiting approval of Environmental Health Impact Assessment study, is expected to commence operation in the first quarter of 2012. Taken together, the expansion projects, including TNP, will raise GLOW’s electricity generating capacity by 1,293 MWe. The total capacity across the GLOW Group will then jump by 58% to 3,526 MWe by 2012, said TRIS Rating. -- End
Company Rating: Affirmed at A Issue Ratings: GLOW12DA: Bt3,000 million guaranteed debentures due 2012 Affirmed at A GLOW156A: Bt1,500 million guaranteed debentures due 2015 Affirmed at A GLOW173A: Bt1,000 million guaranteed debentures due 2017 Affirmed at A GLOW175A: Bt2,000 million guaranteed debentures due 2017 Affirmed at A GLOW17OA: Bt1,600 million guaranteed debentures due 2017 Affirmed at A GLOW186A: Bt2,500 million guaranteed debentures due 2018 Affirmed at A GLOW194A: Bt2,000 million guaranteed debentures due 2019 Affirmed at A GLOW19OA: Bt1,400 million guaranteed debentures due 2019 Affirmed at A Up to Bt6,000 million guaranteed debentures due within 2021 A Rating Outlook: Stable
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