TRIS Rating affirms the company rating on Banpu PLC (BANPU) and the ratings on BANPU?s senior unsecured debentures at ?A+? with a ?stable? outlook. At the same time, TRIS Rating assigns the rating of ?A+? to BANPU?s proposed issue of up to THB7 billion and an additional greenshoe portion of up to THB3 billion in senior unsecured debentures. The proceeds from the new debentures are intended to be used for refinancing its existing debts and for its working capital.
The ratings continue to reflect the company?s leading position in the coal industry in the Asia-Pacific region, reliable stream of income from its power business, and the strategic move towards an integrated green energy company. The ratings take into consideration coal price volatility and factor in the prospect of declining coal demand over the long term, driven in part by global efforts to reduce carbon emissions.
As of September 2021, BANPU?s consolidated debt was about USD5.7 billion. BANPU?s priority debt consisted of USD62 million in secured debts and USD1.1 billion in senior debts owed by BANPU?s subsidiaries. The ratio of priority debt to total debt was about 20% at the end of September 2021.
RATING OUTLOOK
The ?stable? outlook reflects TRIS Rating?s expectation that BANPU will maintain its leading position in the coal industry. Dividends from the steady power business and greater contribution from the gas business will provide some cushion against the volatility in the coal business. We also view that BANPU?s financial discipline and prudent cash management to maintain adequate liquidity will help it weather the volatility in market conditions.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
A rating upside could occur if the company improved its financial profile significantly or exhibited greater earnings stability. A rating downgrade could occur if BANPU?s performance materially deviated from our forecast, possibly from coal prices and gas prices that fall significantly short of the expected levels. Any additional debt-funded investments, which significantly weaken the capital structure and cash flow protection for an extended period, could be another factor leading to a downgrade.
RELATED CRITERIA
- Issue Rating Criteria, 15 June 2021
- Rating Methodology ? Corporate, 26 July 2019
- Key Financial Ratios and Adjustments, 5 September 2018
Banpu PLC (BANPU)
Company Rating: A+
Issue Ratings:
BANPU225A: THB3,000 million senior unsecured debentures due 2022 A+
BANPU234A: THB3,500 million senior unsecured debentures due 2023 A+
BANPU247A: THB5,000 million senior unsecured debentures due 2024 A+
BANPU248A: THB2,000 million senior unsecured debentures due 2024 A+
BANPU257A: THB2,100 million senior unsecured debentures due 2025 A+
BANPU264A: THB2,000 million senior unsecured debentures due 2026 A+
BANPU268A: THB3,945 million senior unsecured debentures due 2026 A+
BANPU274A: THB10,000 million senior unsecured debentures due 2027 A+
BANPU282A: THB2,000 million senior unsecured debentures due 2028 A+
BANPU288B: THB4,010 million senior unsecured debentures due 2028 A+
BANPU295A: THB10,000 million senior unsecured debentures due 2029 A+
BANPU312A: THB3,670 million senior unsecured debentures due 2031 A+
BANPU318A: THB6,045 million senior unsecured debentures due 2031 A+
BANPU234B: USD150 million senior unsecured debentures due 2023 A+
BANPU288A: USD50 million senior unsecured debentures due 2028 A+
Up to THB7,000 million senior unsecured debentures
and additional greenshoe portion of up to THB3,000 million due within 12 years A+
Rating Outlook: Stable