TRIS Rating affirms the company rating on Minor International PLC (MINT) and the ratings on MINT?s existing senior unsecured debentures at ?A?, and the rating on MINT?s subordinated capital debentures (hybrid debentures, MINT22PA) at ?BBB+?, with a ?stable? rating outlook. At the same time, we assign the rating of ?BBB+? to MINT?s proposed issue of up to THB5 billion and an additional greenshoe portion of up to THB3 billion in hybrid debentures. The rating differential reflects the subordinated nature of the hybrid debentures and the option of the issuer to defer coupons on a cumulative basis. The proceeds from the new debenture issues will be used to refinance its outstanding hybrid debentures.
The ratings continue to reflect MINT's strong business fundamentals, underpinned by its strong portfolio of brands and wide geographic coverage in the hospitality and restaurant businesses. The ratings also take into consideration MINT?s high but declining financial leverage, supported by improving operating conditions.
MINT?s hotel business continues to recover led by the hotel business in Europe. Meanwhile, hotel operations in Thailand are improving steadily on the back of the increasing number of tourist arrivals. As operational challenges persist in China, MINT?s restaurant business in Thailand and Australia delivers sound performance from improved operating conditions. For the first nine months of 2022, the company reported THB85.8 billion in revenue, compared with THB47.9 billion in the same period last year. Despite inflationary pressure, MINT was able to increase prices in response to heightened costs, especially its hotel room rates in Europe. As a result, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) almost tripled from the same period last year to THB23.2 billion, which is roughly the same level as in 2019 prior to the pandemic. Adjusted debt to EBITDA ratio improved from 14.2 times at the end of 2021 to 6.8 times (annualized based on trailing 12 months) for the first nine months of 2022.
RATING OUTLOOK
The ?stable? outlook reflects our expectation of MINT?s continuing business recovery as well as improving credit metrics supported by the revival of the hospitality industry and return of social and economic normalcy despite pressure from global economic headwinds.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Downward revision pressure on the ratings could arise if MINT?s operating conditions turn unfavourable and business recovery is significantly weaker than forecast, or if the company makes additional sizable debt-funded investments. A rating upgrade could occur when MINT?s business and financial profiles continue to improve such that its adjusted debt to EBITDA ratio stays well below 5 times on a sustained basis.
RELATED CRITERIA
- Corporate Rating Methodology, 15 July 2022
- Key Financial Ratio and Adjustments for Corporate Issuers, 11 January 2022
- Hybrid Securities Rating Criteria, 28 June 2021
- Issue Rating Criteria, 15 June 2021
Minor International PLC (MINT)
Company Rating: A
Issue Ratings:
MINT237A: THB3,059.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2023 A
MINT243A: THB4,635.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2024 A
MINT243B: THB2,165.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2024 A
MINT247A: THB3,501.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2024 A
MINT249A: THB1,000.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2024 A
MINT255A: THB4,000.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2025 A
MINT255B: THB2,769.03 million senior unsecured debentures due 2025 A
MINT257A: THB3,440.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2025 A
MINT267A: THB2,000.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2026 A
MINT277B: THB2,230.97 million senior unsecured debentures due 2027 A
MINT283A: THB1,000.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2028 A
MINT293A: THB1,815.40 million senior unsecured debentures due 2029 A
MINT293B: THB5,684.60 million senior unsecured debentures due 2029 A
MINT313A: THB1,200.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2031 A
MINT313B: THB1,570.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2031 A
MINT313C: THB2,430.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2031 A
MINT329A: THB1,000.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2032 A
MINT343A: THB3,070.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2034 A
MINT343B: THB2,430.00 million senior unsecured debentures due 2034 A
MINT22PA: THB13,000.00 million subordinated capital debentures BBB+
Up to THB5,000.00 million subordinated capital debentures and additional greenshoe portion of up to THB3,000.00 million BBB+
Rating Outlook: Stable